Week 4 started a lot better than Week 3 ended. The early slate was one of the most exciting in recent memory, with the Rams, Cowboys and Patriots all pulling off late comeback wins, and we came out of it 6-2. Here’s every pick so far.
Early Window: 6-2
- Bears -3 → WIN (Bears 23, Jets 12). Chicago won without Caleb Williams again and held the Jets to 12 points. Bears move to 3-1.
- Jaguars ML → WIN (Jaguars 22, Bengals 17). Trevor Lawrence finally beat Cincinnati for the first time in his career, and Ja’Marr Chase left the game for the Bengals.
- Bills ML → LOSS (Patriots 29, Bills 26). The upset of the day, and our most expensive loss. Drake Maye threw three touchdown passes, including Efton Chism’s one-handed catch with 1:50 left, after Buffalo led 17-7 at the half. The moneyline was priced around -310, so that one hurt.
- Cardinals -2.5 → LOSS (Giants 36, Cardinals 24). Arizona jumped out to a 14-6 lead and then fell apart. The Giants scored their first touchdown in more than 10 quarters on a Malachi Fields catch late in the second quarter, then outscored the Cardinals 30-10 the rest of the way.
- Rams -3.5 → WIN (Rams 24, Eagles 20). Los Angeles pulled out a last-minute comeback in Philadelphia and covered by half a point. The Eagles have now lost two straight.
- Packers ML → WIN (Packers 17, Buccaneers 14). Our Best Bet of the early slate. The under 38.5 hit too, with just 31 total points. Tampa Bay falls to 0-4.
- Ravens ML → WIN (Ravens 24, Titans 18). The Ravens won but only by six, nowhere near the 11.5-point spread, so staying off the number paid off.
- Cowboys ML → WIN (Cowboys 34, Texans 30). Javonte Williams scored three touchdowns and Dallas put up 28 points in the second half to win in Houston at plus money. The Texans are 0-4 after their defense gave up another late score.
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